Appendix A. Macroeconomic Projections 1995-1996

Macroeconomic Projections, 1996-1997

 

1996

1997

Gross Domestic Product
Real growth

3.7

4.0

Nominal GDP (billions of pesos)

2,492.6

3,096.3

GDP deflactor

34.1

19.4

Inflation
Dec./Dec.

26.20

15.0

Average exchange rate 1/

7.62

8.53

Minimum Wage
Annual nominal variation
December

10.0

17.0

April

12.0

-

Oil Price 2/
Dollars per barrel

18.05

14.50

Public balance
As percentage of GDP

0.0

-0.5

Current Account
Millions of dollars

-1,014.0

-4,300.0

As percentage of GDP

-0.31

-1.18

1/ Given that there is a free-floating exchange rate regime, these numbers cannot be depicted as exchange rate projections. However, for the purpose of calculating some items of the budgetary data, these were the references. In the Economic Policy Guidelines for 1996, an exchange rate of 7.70 was used, while as of november 5, 1996 the average exchange rate was 7.55 pesos per dollar.

2/ A price of 13.25 dollars per barrel was assumed for the mexican crude oil export mix in the Budget for 1996.


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